Saturday, November 23, 2024

Canada Letter: Alberta’s pension fund shake up

The province abruptly purged the board and senior leaders of its pension fund.
Canada Letter

November 23, 2024

Alberta Breaks With the Canadian Pension Model

Without any advance notice, the government of Alberta last week fired all 10 directors on the board of its pension fund, Alberta Investment Management Corporation, along with its chief executive and three of his most senior employees. Then, this week, it announced that Stephen Harper, the former Conservative prime minister, would serve as the fund's chairman.

Stephen Harper, wearing a blue suit, gestures with both hands as he sits onstage.
Stephen Harper, the former prime minister, is volunteering as the chairman of Alberta's pension fund. Joshua Roberts/Reuters

The change at AIMCo, which manages 161 billion Canadian dollars, shook the pension world.

"In my history of being in this space, it's unique," Keith Ambachtsheer, emeritus director of the Toronto-based International Centre for Pension Management, told me, describing the purge as "Soviet style."

"It's a departure certainly in the eyes of not just Canada, but the world," he said. "I've talked to people from Australia to the U.K. about what's going on. The Canadian pension model has become the global standard for how you should think about these things. Now here is a government that is kind of stepping outside those rules."

The Canadian pension model, pioneered by the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan during the 1990s, is based on the principle that funds should be managed independently of both governments and unions and free of political interference. It calls for independent boards whose members are experienced in investments and finance. And to ensure that the best people manage funds, most Canadian pension plans pay fund managers salaries on the scale of those offered for similar positions at banks, private equity firms and other private sector firms.

Those high salaries sometimes draw complaints from politicians. But Mr. Ambachtsheer said that the politically independent Canadian system justified them with returns that have not only more than covered pension obligations, but have also sometimes allowed pension contributions by employees to be lowered.

The salaries may be partly behind the shift in Alberta. In a news release announcing the firings, Alberta said that it "has seen significant increases in operating costs, management fees and staffing without a corresponding increase to return on investment."

In making that case, the province pointed to costs and returns between 2019 and last year. But Evan Siddall, the now deposed chief executive and a former investment banker, was appointed in 2021 to clean up a major mess: The year before, stock market swings brought by the pandemic led to a $3 billion loss in a complex trading strategy, which was then abandoned.

Mr. Ambachtsheer, who is a co-founder of a firm that analyzes pension fund performance, said that since Mr. Siddall's arrival, AIMCo had solidly offered the province "value for money."

Danielle Smith, smiling, in front of a microphone in a children's reading room.
Premier Danielle Smith plans to vastly increase the size of Alberta's Heritage Fund. Amber Bracken for The New York Times

Then why the purge?

Some speculate that it's linked to repeated suggestions by Danielle Smith, the premier, that she will pull Alberta out of the Canada Pension Plan and follow Quebec by establishing a provincial plan. But Nate Horner, the province's finance minister, insisted that there was no connection.

Many pension experts, including Mr. Ambachtsheer, are very skeptical about Alberta's ability to go it alone. Mr. Ambachtsheer also believes the report commissioned by Alberta that found the province is owed just over half of the Canada Pension Plan's assets is fundamentally flawed, undermining the province's case for pension separation. He estimates the actual amount to be 15 percent.

Mr. Ambachtsheer's theory is that Ms. Smith is asserting her government's control over AIMCo as part of her plan to increase the value of Alberta's Heritage Fund to between 250 billion and 400 billion Canadian dollars by 2050.

The fund, which currently accounts for 24.3 billion dollars of AIMCo's assets, was founded in 1976 with oil and gas royalties collected by the province. But Alberta soon started dipping into it to pay for infrastructure projects and other special spending. And in 1987, regular infusions of cash from royalties ended. Last year, Ms. Smith restored them. (Some payments of about 1 billion dollars were made in the mid-2000s.)

Also restored, this week, were three of the AIMCo board members purged last week, to serve under Mr. Harper. Mr. Ambachtsheer said he found the return of the directors, all experienced financial executives, "somewhat comforting."

But Mr. Harper, who is not accepting a salary, is something of an anomaly among the chairs of large pension funds in Canada. While he has been involved in several business ventures since leaving politics, he lacks his counterparts' deep and extensive experience in finance and investment. The chairman of Ontario Teachers' is a former president of CIBC World Markets, and the chairman of the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board was once the head of Sun Life Financial.

"It is going to be interesting to see how Stephen Harper behaves as the new chair of the board," Mr. Ambachtsheer said, adding that he believes the former prime minister now has enough business experience for the role. "Alberta's kind of breaking that mold in terms of being centered on the idea that it's our organization, we created it and we don't like the way it's being run and we're going to reconstitute it. We'll see where that goes."

Trans Canada

Three people walk between two parked buses toward a suburban home. Two of the people are carrying bags.
Migrants arriving in Plattsburgh, N.Y., from Canada. The Canadian authorities are preparing for a possible spike in undocumented migrants under the next Trump administration. Anna Watts for The New York Times
  • Matina Stevis-Gridneff, The Times's Toronto bureau chief, and Hamed Aleaziz, who reports on immigration policy from Washington, have looked into Canada's concerns that President-elect Donald J. Trump's promised mass deportations will cause migrants to flee north — and concerns among some Trump allies about a recent spike in undocumented migrants crossing from Canada to the United States.
  • Pat King, whose often inflammatory videos made him one of the most prominent figures in the protests that paralyzed downtown Ottawa in 2022, was convicted on Friday of five charges involving mischief and disobeying a court order.
  • Randy Boissonnault has resigned as employment minister after acknowledging that he was mistaken about his adoptive family's Indigenous heritage and amid allegations, which he strongly denies, that he continued to be involved in a small-business partnership that bid on government contracts after he joined the cabinet.
  • Northvolt says it still intends to build a multibillion-dollar electric vehicle battery plant in Quebec despite filing for bankruptcy protection in the United States.
  • The Museum of Modern Art is holding a film retrospective of the work of Robert Frank, who spent much of his life and made many of his experimental films in Mabou, Nova Scotia.
  • While offering sock advice, Vanessa Friedman, The Times's chief fashion critic, discusses the novelty choices of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, "a master of the art of sock diplomacy."

Ian Austen reports on Canada for The Times and is based in Ottawa. Originally from Windsor, Ontario, he covers politics, culture and the people of Canada and has reported on the country for two decades. He can be reached at austen@nytimes.com. More about Ian Austen

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