Upshot: Polling and polarization

Also: A nation of homebodies

View in browser|nytimes.com October 7, 2024 The New York Times State of the Race: A Big Week in News, but a Quiet One in Polling The polls are still so close that neither candidate has a significant advantage. By Nate Cohn Anna Moneymaker/The New York Times Every Election Has Big Swings, Even in a Polarized Country. This One Will Too. In just the last few years, any number of issues might have led people to reconsider their loyalties. By Nate Cohn Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com. If you have a compelling data set you'd like us to pursue, send it to dear.upshot@nytimes.com. WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS James Silverman for The New York Times How One Polling Decision Is Leading to Two Distinct Stories of the Election A methodological choice has created divergent paths of polling results. Is this election more like 2020 or 2022? By Nate Cohn Flashback: Your Weekly History Quiz, October 5, 2024 Can you sort 8 historical events? The New York Times A Nation of Homebodies A recent study shows Americans are spending notably more time at home, a trend that started long before the pandemic. By Ronda Kaysen and Alicia Parlapiano The New York Times Tracking Hurricane Milton See the likely path and wind arrival times for Milton. By William B. Davis, Madison Dong, Judson Jones, John Keefe and Bea Malsky IN CASE YOU MISSED IT National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Associated Press The Problem With the Hurricane Category Rating After Helene, it may be time to rethink how to communicate the risks posed by storms, especially extreme rain. By Aatish Bhatia Karl Russell Labor Market Shows Unexpected Strength U.S. employers added 254,000 jobs in September, a sign that economic growth remained solid. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1 percent. By Talmon Joseph Smith Like this email? Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up here. Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for The Upshot from The New York Times. To stop receiving The Upshot, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018